Accelerating Global Climate Resilience through Robust Adaptation Metrics
- Persistent gaps in coordination, measurement, and attribution hinder coherent integration of adaptation across global frameworks (SDGs, Sendai, CBD, CCD), underscoring the need for harmonized, adaptive, and inclusive metrics. Metrics often remain siloed and focused on static or targets not directly connected with outcomes, which hinders aggregation and cross framework consistency. Strengthening alignment through harmonized indicators, adaptive metrics, and improved coordination—particularly integrating non state actors—is essential to achieve coherent global adaptation tracking (Section II).
- Adaptation measurement remains fragmented, requiring scalable, systems-based frameworks that link sectoral outcomes and enable meaningful aggregation. This limits aggregation and obscures cross-scale dynamics. To address this, a systems thinking approach and scale-specific MEL frameworks that link sectoral outcomes and enable aggregation from local to global levels are needed. The UAE–Belém Work Programme’s 100 indicators mark progress on this but remain process-heavy, requiring further work to capture outcomes and ensure comparability (Section III).
- Adaptation tracking is fragmented, requiring stronger institutions, interoperable data, and innovative, participatory approaches for effective, accountable monitoring. Political, institutional, and financial constraints—alongside limited capacity and inclusivity—undermine robust monitoring and evaluation. Strengthening institutional capacity, ensuring data interoperability, linking finance to measurable outcomes, and investing in open-access systems are key priorities. Mixed-method approaches combining quantitative and qualitative data, participatory co-design, and technological innovation (Artificial Intelligence (AI), Internet of Things (IoT), blockchain) can substantially enhance adaptation metrics’ effectiveness and accountability (Section IV).
- Six principles—aggregable, transparent, consistent, realistic, coherent, and context-sensitive metrics— combined with a ToC-based, scale-specific MEL framework, can reduce fragmentation and link local actions to global goals. Metrics should, ideally, be aggregable, transparent, longitudinally consistent, realistic, coherent, and context-sensitive to ensure comparability and local relevance. A functional typology (inputs, processes, outputs, outcomes/impacts) clarifies causal chains and strengthens accountability. A Theory of Change (ToC)-based, scale-specific MEL framework enables aggregation while maintaining contextual nuance, linking local actions to the Global Goal on Adaptation (GGA). Operationalizing this framework requires institutionalized stakeholder participation, integration of GESI, and global support for bottom-up aggregation and learning-oriented systems (Section V).
- Effective implementation needs sustained funding, coordination, iterative learning, and a permanent platform to ensure coherent, credible, and actionable adaptation metrics. Regular updating of indicators, clear methodological guidance, and integration with financial and governance frameworks are critical to ensure metrics remain relevant, credible, and actionable. Establishing a permanent international platform or expert group on adaptation metrics could sustain coherence, comparability, and innovation across scales and frameworks (Section VI).
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